Microsoft Understands Consumers

Microsoft understands us. They know we're all about elegance and simplicity now. That's why they've boiled these instructions down to three simple steps. Mind you, these instructions tell us how to open the box Vista comes in. Seriously, check out these instructions!

This is the company that is going to buy Yahoo! and together they are going to go out there and change the world after looking deep into the souls of consumers and figuring out how they really want to be marketed to. It's inspiring, it really is.

Focus Groups

This is great. Now to be fair, the greatness of the original Mac ad was somewhat a product of the times. It may be hard for people to grasp why a computer commercial would use the imagery that Apple used back then. In 1984, you got it. But it's still a great exercise and reminds us that great things come from great minds, not focus groups and demand analysis.

Word of Mouth vs. Viral Marketing

Diagram_virusSeth Godin blogged on the difference between word of mouth and viral marketing, and since the misuse of the term "viral marketing" has bugged me for a long time, I think it's worth commenting on. While I know Seth can talk for an hour (or write a whole book) about viral marketing, I think he shortchanged the explanation in his post. The basic difference, as Seth explains, is that word of mouth decays and viral marketing compounds. This isn't exactly right, I humbly submit, because both word of mouth and viral marketing can involve compounding, and they both can and will eventually decay. The difference is in the method of transmission of the idea and the source of the energy used to propogate it.

So here's my take on it, perhaps influenced by my distant pre-med past. A virus is characterized by the ability to get a cell to make copies of the virus instead of itself, by injecting a genetic package into the cell. Thus the cell becomes the energy source for creating new viruses. (Unlike other types of cells which use their internal energy to reproduce.) Once a whole bunch of new viruses have been created, they bust out and infect new cells, compounding the growth and spread of the virus. Hence the term "viral marketing" for something that creates this compounding effect by getting "infected" people to reproduce something that in turn infects others.

Too often, however, the term is applied to phenomena that are simply really good word of mouth. Someone tells you to visit a great website with hysterical pictures on it, and you do, and you like it, and you tell 5 friends to visit that website. They tell 5 friends, and so one, and pretty soon the website has a $15 billion valuation. But there's no viral marketing going on in that example. Just good word of mouth. The interaction between infected "cell" and a new host doesn't involve the transmission of the virus itself from one to the other.

On the other hand, if I visit that website and there's this app that helps me make a really funny picture, and I click a button that says "send this image to 5 friends" and I do, and in that email my friends see the image and after laughing their asses off notice that below the image it says "Jeff made this image on ROTFLMAO.com, and you can too!" and they not only forward the email I sent them to 5 more friends, but visit the site, make their own images and forward those to 5 friends, you've got a real viral marketing engine going there.

The difference, to me at least, is that in the first example the thing that you're trying to increase isn't transmitted to others. They just hear about it, and have to go see for themselves before becoming "infected" by the brilliant website. In the viral example, the act of telling the friends about it "infects" them. Some of the infected ones will successfully reproduce the virus and infect others.

Why does this difference matter? Well, like Seth says, good word of mouth is great, but tends to dissipate as it gets further from the source of energy, the person that had the original experience. Eventually the experience has lost too much energy to inspire anyone to pass it on. "My friend's cousin's girlfriend's sister's niece's babysitter saw this great website" Yeah, whatever.

A real viral campaign carries the original, infecting experience to each person it touches. Everyone gets hit with the *original* level of energy, and the likelihood that the virus will be passed on doesn't change as it spreads further from the original source.

There's nothing wrong with good word of mouth, it just ain't a virus.

Novatel Merlin XU870 Cingular on MacBook Pro

Merlinxu870This thing rocks! I just hooked up this 3G (HSDPA) modem and was up and running in seconds. The modem is an Expresscard 34 size wireless modem card that runs on the Cingular network in the U.S. It suports HSDPA, which Cingular has rolled out in the major metro areas, and covers most of the area here in Silicon Valley. When it can't connect via HSDPA it will drop to UMTS, EDGE, or GPRS if necessary.


Novatel touts Mac compatibility, and it was indeed a snap to get things running on the Mac. Here's all that was necessary: buy the card, sign up for Broadband Connect on my Cingular account (you may want to get another line of service so you get a separate SIM card. Otherwise you'll have to use the card from your phone, and what good is that?), insert SIM card in the XU870, pop it in the Expresscard slot, and surf away!

OK, not quite that simple. When you insert the card, the Mac recognizes it and it self-configures. I'm assuming that's due to the recent update that added WWAN support to OS X. It hard-coded certain cards for each of the major carriers, including the XU870 on Cingular. So the Network Pref Pane for the Novatel HSDPA card automatically entered the right dial numbers and account names and such. I clicked connect, it connected, and I've now got very usable, fast connectivity. In my living room I'm showing only 1 bar, but connected at HSDPA/UMTS (I'm pretty sure HSPDA is only applicable to downloads). Speakeasy shows I'm still getting 998kbps down and 347kbps up. That's about as good as my DSL connection.


Assuming I can get this kind of speed in hotels and airports and other places on business trips and other out of the office locations, this is going to be great. Internet access in a hotel, which usually tends to be relatively slow and finicky, is around $30 for a 3 day stay. This service is $60 per month, unlimited. It'll pay for itself pretty quickly!


One thing to note is that Cingular will be selling a (different) Expresscard format card very soon, which I assume you'll be able to get a rebate on when you sign a Broadband Connect contract.

Jura-Capresso Impressa F7

We recently finished renovating our kitchen, and thought it would be great to upgrade the coffee machine as well. We've been using the Cuisinart Thermal Grind & Brew, and while it's pretty good, it had a few drawbacks. Mostly, you have to clean the damn thing constantly, because the steam from brewing turns a certain percentage of the ground coffee to sludge in the grinder and the chute. So basically you clean everything every day. It's also fairly tall, and you can't fill it if it is under the cabinet.

Prod_large_f7_1_3

Continue reading "Jura-Capresso Impressa F7" »

Selling Second Life

Josh Jaffe (an interactive ad guru) just opened an agency simultaneously in the real world and Second Life. So now that virtual world even has its own ad agency to help virtual retailers and other businesses sell.

The virtual world is hardly new, back in the mid 90's there were lots of virtual world projects, and some of you may remember VRML, a Web standard for creating such environments. These in turn arose from MUDs and MOOs and other text-based virtual worlds, and the board game Dungeons & Dragons before that.

What's different is the much greater level of internet use now, the growing ubiquity of always-on, broadband connections to it, and most importantly, the massive amounts of computing power and bandwidth available to run such worlds at a relatively low cost. Second Life and the parallel universes that ultimately follow it are just that, universes, not places. They can expand infinitely, and if you don't like how commercial the "city" has gotten, you can build yourself a commune and live out in the wilderness. The frontier never ends.

That fact changes the game, because it makes it possible for all kinds of people to find a use for this virtual world. If you haven't read Neuromancer or other William Gibson novels and you find this fascinating, run out and get the book.

So what does this all mean for retail? If you thought in hindsight that brick and mortar retailers were late to the Internet game, and allowed the Amazons of the world to muscle in on their revenues, then you should be equally concerned that all kinds of retailers take virtual reality seriously. It's not just another web site; it's a different culture, by design.

My New MacBook Pro

Img_2575It arrived this morning! There are surely plenty of unboxing galleries up by now, so I'll spare you most of the pix. I thought it would be useful to post some comparisons of the 2.0 Ghz MacBook Pro w/ 1 gig RAM to the 1.67 Ghz Powerbook 15" G4 High-Res with 1 Gb RAM, which I also happen to have, at least for the moment. Both have the faster 7200 RPM 100 gig HDs in them. They are also configured the same, as I just sucked everything over from the G4 during the MBP setup.

Speaking of setup, the MagSafe connector already saved my ass! I was checking on the file transfer, without turning the office light on, and tripped over the powercord. Seriously, how stupid is that? I've had the thing for 10 minutes! Well, the MagSafe connector popped right out and the MBP didn't even flinch. Didn't move a millimeter. Thank you, Apple!

Display comparison, boot and app launch comparisons after the jump...

Continue reading "My New MacBook Pro" »

Pandora

Zenith9s367_lg_1This is absolutely brilliant! These guys figured out the "genome" of music and wrote a web service that basically programs a radio station with music you'd like based on a song or artist you tell them you like. Looks like they'll make money by letting you buy the song through iTunes or the album through Amazon via affiliate links. Try it! http://www.pandora.com

via SonicFlare

Hi-Res 15" Powerbook

Ports15o20050920So the new high-resolution Powerbooks come out just 32 days after I bought a 15" Powerbook at work. Aaaargh. What to do, what to do? Simple, find some other closet Mac-lover in the office that needs a laptop and slyly suggest that it would be OK if they used a Powerbook instead of the usual Dell. Bingo, time to upgrade. Discussion after the break....

Continue reading "Hi-Res 15" Powerbook" »

Bush: Never Give Up, Never Surrender!

Link: Bush: Radicals Seek to Intimidate World - Yahoo! News.

"Against such an enemy, there's only one effective response: We never back down, never give in and never accept anything less than complete victory," Bush declared.

Is George Bush auditioning for Galaxy Quest? For those keeping score at home, the justification for the war in Iraq path looks something like this:

Good Lord, those people have the bomb (WMDs!) >
Good Lord, that Saddam was a very bad man! >
Good Lord, these people were desperate for democracy! >
Good Lord, we've got to fight them there before they come here! >
Good Lord, these people will not stop until they've enslaved whole nations!